Nba player

Return Jaylen Brown and Al Horford in Game 1 (May 17)

Credit:

Via Joe Murphy/Getty Images. Pictured: Jaylen Brown #7 high fives Al Horford #42 of the Boston Celtics.

The Eastern Conference Finals begin Tuesday night between the Boston Celtics and Miami Heat. This series will be a rigorous and defensive confrontation. I wouldn’t be surprised if this streak comes to seven games.

We’ll be using the Action Labs Player Prop tool to compare our NBA projections to published props on a variety of sportsbooks. Below I have presented two bets on the props I play, the case for each bet, and the best books for finding odds on these player props.

NBA Players’ Accessories and Picks

Al Horford, over 8.5 rebounds (-125)

Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat Heat -1.5
Time | TV 8:30 p.m. ET | ESPN
best book DraftKings

Al Horford played at a high level for the Boston Celtics in the playoffs, especially in the conference semifinals against the Milwaukee Bucks. Horford has been great at rebounding in basketball and averaged 10.4 rebounds per game last series. Additionally, Horford had nine or more rebounds in five of seven games against the Bucks.

During the regular season against the Heat, Horford averaged 10.3 rebounds and recorded nine or more rebounds in two of three matchups. It will be a tough series and the rebounds will emphasize the offensive end. Both teams are top-five in defensive efficiency and top-10 in rebounding percentage.

Despite the return of Robert Williams III for the Celtics, Horford will play important minutes as Horford gives them more of an offensive threat as a passer and shooter than Williams. Horford has been a great rebounder throughout his career, and this series will be no different against a small Heat team.


Jaylen Brown, over 2.5 3s made (-115)

Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat Heat -1.5
Time | TV 8:30 p.m. ET | ESPN
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I expect the Miami Heat to smooth Jayson Tatum and have someone else on the Celtics team beat them offensively, which will have Jaylen Brown playing a key role. Brown had success against the Heat as he averaged 24.7 points per game and, more importantly, shot 47.8% from the 3-point line against them in the regular season.

During the playoffs, Brown is shooting 41.9 percent from the 3-point line. Additionally, in his last seven games against the Heat, Brown has knocked down three or more 3-point shots six times. If the Celtics win the series, it will be because Brown continues to be effective beyond the arc against a Heat team that is giving up a high volume of 3-point attempts.

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