Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from leveraging them directly in the betting market to measuring a player’s potential to produce in everyday fantasy basketball.
Here we will focus on using our projections and a host of other tools to help make money betting on player props. For this article, we’re using the odds provided by FanDuel Sportsbook to identify where value can be found tonight.
The prop betting experience at FanDuel Sportsbook just got more fun. You can track your player’s props with real-time updates and easily place props in-game.
Please note that the betting lines and our throwing players may change throughout the day after the publication of this article.
Victor Oladipo Under 1.5 made three points (-122)
Victor Oladipo was clearly the Miami Heatis the best player in Game 4, with 23 points on 7-for-16 shooting, including a 4-for-7 mark from deep.
It’s possible he played himself a bigger role, but unless he sees that bigger role, he probably won’t hit multiple treys today in Game 5.
Prior to the Game 4 blast, Oladipo hadn’t made more than a three in a game in any of his last seven games. He doesn’t shoot much from deep — just 2.7 three-point attempts per night in Games 1-3 of this series — and he’s only hit 34.8 percent from beyond the arc in his career.
Unless he plays huge minutes or shoots extremely effectively tonight, Oladipo is going to struggle to get above that prop. It is projected for 1.2 hat-tricks made on 3.6 attempts in 18.3 minutes.
PJ Tucker More than 0.5 flights (-140)
PJ Tucker has had at least one steal in 7 of his last 11 games, including 3 of 4 games in this series.
The only game in this series he went without a steal was Game 2 – when he played just 21.7 minutes because he was out early with an injury.
In a crucial Game 5, Tucker should see plenty of running. We expect it to record 30.4 minutes, but it could see more than that. Tucker has played 37.8, 31.3 and 38.6 minutes in the last three games in which he was injury-free and it wasn’t a blowout. Obviously, the more playing time there is, the better the chances of cashing out this bet.
We projected Tucker 0.9 interceptions, but I’m more bullish on that bet than our model.