Betting NBA props on a short list of games can sometimes leave few good options. But with two really good matches on national television, I’m aiming for two stars who will hopefully make a show.
We’ll be using the Action Labs Player Prop tool to compare our NBA projections to props posted on a variety of sportsbooks.
Below I have presented two prop bets that I play, the case for every bet, and the best books to find odds on these player props.
NBA player choice and accessories
Kevin Durant PTS + REB + AST Over 40.5 (-110)
|Nets vs. Mavericks||Threads -2.5|
|time | TV||7:30 p.m. ET | TNT|
Kevin Durant is on an absolute tear this season for the Brooklyn Nets. So far this season, he’s led the Brooklyn Nets to 16-7 in the Eastern Conference, tied for first with the Chicago Bulls. Durant is currently second on the NBA MVP odds chart, behind former Warriors teammate Stephen Curry.
In 23 games this season, Kevin Durant is averaging 28.6 points, 7.7 rebounds and 5.5 assists per game. Additionally, in 10 road games, Durant’s numbers are slightly better averaging 29.8 points, 8.4 rebounds and 6.3 assists. Additionally, Durant has passed that line in four straight games with a combined points, rebounds and assists average of 46.
The Mavericks rank 19th in the NBA in defensive standings, allowing 113.1 points per 100 possessions. I’m not sure there’s a Mavericks player who can slow Durant tonight. He is one of the best players in the world and can score from anywhere on the pitch. The Nets are also lacking in size and Durant throughout his career has shown himself to be a great rebounder. In fact, Durant is the team’s second-best rebounder, behind James Harden at just 0.2 boards per game.
The Brooklyn Nets go like Durant and he’s the type of player who can lose 40 any night. I expect Durant to continue to be the focal point of the offense and with the tool throwing Durant at 46.8 PTS + REB + AST, I like him to overcome that 40.5 combo line with ease.
Jayson Tatum PTS + REB Over 35.5 (-115)
|Celtics vs. Lakers||Lakers -2.5|
|time | TV||10 p.m. ET | TNT|
The Boston Celtics are in the middle of a five-game road trip and are in Los Angeles tonight to face the Lakers. The Celtics appear to be regaining their form after a slow start to the season. In fact, the Celtics have won six of their last nine games and Jayson Tatum is a big part of the turnaround.
Tatum is averaging 25.2 points and 8.8 rebounds per game this season and he’s been even better in the last 10: 27.5 points and 9.3 rebounds.
The Celtics have been without Jaylen Brown for much of the season, battling a variety of injuries. Brown’s status is still pending for tonight, it is questionable on the official injury report. In 11 games without Brown on the ground, Tatum has really carried the load averaging 29.8 points and 8.9 rebounds in those contests.
Tatum has his breakout game this season when these two faced off last month. He scored 37 points and took 11 rebounds on the way to a 130-108 victory. Additionally, Tatum has passed 35.5 points and rebounds in four of the last five games. I’m expecting another big night for Tatum in LA
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