Nba player

3 NBA player prop bets to target on Friday 3/11/22

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from leveraging them directly in the betting market to measuring a player’s potential to produce in everyday fantasy basketball.

Here we will focus on using our projections and a host of other tools to help make money betting on player props. For this article, we’re using the odds provided by FanDuel Sportsbook to identify where value can be found tonight.

The prop betting experience at FanDuel Sportsbook just got more fun. You can track your player’s props with real-time updates and easily place props in-game.

Please note that the betting lines and our throwing players may change throughout the day after the publication of this article.

Wendell Carter Jr. Over 10.5 rebounds (+108)

Wendell Carter Jr. has been a monster on the boards lately.

In his last eight games, he’s knocked down at least 11 boards six times, and one of the exceptions was a 10-rebound outing.

Carter takes on the Minnesota Timberwolves sports team the third highest rebound rate (54.1%) in the last five games, so they’re good on the boards overall. But Minnesota has allowed the sixth-most rebounds per game for forwards (11.3) in the last 15 games, and it’s a T-Wolves team Carter notched 14 rebounds against earlier this season.

With Carter averaging 12.7 rebounds per night in March, I like getting the upper hand at a good price.

Deandre Ayton Under 17.5 points (-104)

Deandre Ayton takes on a Toronto Raptors team that is a tough game for the big guys.

Over the past 15 games, the Raptors hold the center position at 21.2 points per game, eighth-fewest. Toronto (23rd in the last five games) also represents a back seat for the Phoenix Suns (8th) while the Raps are in 6th place in the defensive rankings at this time.

Ayton recently benefited from the absence of Devin Booker and Chris Paul, but Booker came back the last game. With Paul and Booker off the ground this year, Ayton boasts a 23.6% utilization rate, according to RotoGrinders’ CourtIQ. But WWith Booker enabled and CP3 disabled, Ayton’s utilization rate drops to 19.4%.

Our algorithm projects Ayton for just 15.7 points.

LaMelo Ball Over 2.5 Made Three-Pointers (+112)

The Charlotte Hornets are on the road against the New Orleans Pelicans, and the Pels conceded numerous three-point tries. Over the past 15 games, New Orleans has given up a second-highest three-point attempt rate of 43.7 percent.

While LaMelo Ball isn’t always a high-volume shooter at depth, the game helps, and he’s sunk at least three trifectas in half of his last six games.

With both teams in the top half of the league on pace in their last five outings, the total at 226.0 points and a tight 3.0 point spread, this should be a great playing environment for Ball.

We expect him to hit 2.7 three-pointers, slightly above that line. With our model tilted this way and the plus (+112) being priced much friendlier than the minus (-142), I like to back Ball to punch at least three treys.