Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from leveraging them directly in the betting market to measuring a player’s potential to produce in everyday fantasy basketball.
Here we will focus on using our projections and a host of other tools to help make money betting on player props. For this article, we’re using the odds provided by FanDuel Sportsbook to identify where value can be found tonight.
The prop betting experience at FanDuel Sportsbook just got more fun. You can track your player’s props with real-time updates and easily place props in-game.
Please note that the betting lines and our throwing players may change throughout the day after the publication of this article.
Ball LaMelo Under 19.5 points (-106)
In the last 15 games, no team has given up fewer points per game to the leaders than the Toronto Raptors, and who is LaMelo Ball? faces tonight.
In this 15-game division, the Raps limit rushing generals to 18.3 points per game.
Our model has Ball scoring 19.1 tonight, pointing ever so slightly lower.
Russell Westbrook Over 17.5 points (-116)
As for the defense against the point guards, the Los Angeles Clippers – Russell WestbrookFriday’s opponent – are the polar opposite of the Raps.
Over the past 15 games, the Clips have allowed a league-high 27.4 points per night at point guard.
In addition to this, Westbrookusage rate this year when on the pitch without Anthony Davis is 28.9%, according to RotoGrinders’ CourtIQ. That’s a jump of 1.5 percentage points from his usual clip.
So even though it’s gross to take over a Russ prop points with the way he has struggled this season, now is a good time to do so given the game and the absence of AD.
Our algorithm confirms this, projecting Westbrook for 18.2 points.
Mohamed Bamba Over 7.5 rebounds (-106)
We should see a ton of possessions in the Orlando Magic-Houston Rockets game, and that means more of everything – including missed shots.
The Magic are 8th in pace, 28th in effective field goal percentage and 28th in offensive efficiency. Houston is playing at the fastest pace in the league while ranking 28th in offensive efficiency and 14th in effective field goal percentage.
It’s going to be an athletic game, and neither of these teams is very good at putting the ball in the basket.
Between Mohamed Bamba.
The former lottery pick is averaging 7.9 rebounds per game for the season, and he’s taken at least eight boards in four of his last six games, with one exception being a seven-rebound outing.
We project Bamba to total 7.6 rebounds in what should be a sloppy shootout.